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Category: Facts

Public health messaging was a fiasco: “Coronavirus: Six months after sheltering, why things fell apart”

Public health messaging was a fiasco: “Coronavirus: Six months after sheltering, why things fell apart”

Public health messaging in the pandemic has been a fiasco of inconsistent, contradictory and incoherent messaging.

A 2006 paper by four epidemiologists explained that most public health mitigation steps do not actually work. First, the measures that might work – like lockdowns – are understood to be infeasible over wide regions or countries and not sustainable. Many other steps that seem intuitive do not work well or do not work at all, or have no evidence to support that they work.

Combine ineffective public health mitigations with lousy public communications and you end up with a fiasco.

Wild fires: Is everything a single variable problem?

Wild fires: Is everything a single variable problem?

Western state Governors are increasingly blaming climate change for western wild fires, as if the wild fires are a single variable. If only we could control the climate, we would no longer have wild land fires. Realistically, there is no magic control knob on climate that we can control and which will reduce fire danger for decades to come.

There are concrete steps that can be taken immediately to reduce the threats of future wild fires – but politicians would rather blame climate change – which they do not control – because to acknowledge there are factors which they can control is to acknowledge that their leadership has failed.

A common mistake people make is to focus on a single variable in a multiple variable problem. In this case, the focus is on one variable that cannot be controlled in the near term, while ignoring other variables that can be controlled.

Oregon’s 500,000 evacuees was faked by OEM – it is about 40,000

Oregon’s 500,000 evacuees was faked by OEM – it is about 40,000

Oregon’s Office of Emergency Management has a reputation for making things up. Yesterday, they claimed that 500,000 or 10% of Oregon’s population had evacuated due to wildfires. This claim received national and international media coverage. The Oregonian noted no where near that many people live in the evacuation zones. This afternoon, they have acknowledged its closer to 40,000, not 500,000. See how Internet memes get generated by fake data from official government sources?

Social media-based health “misinformation” said to be seen by “billions”

Social media-based health “misinformation” said to be seen by “billions”

Not surprisingly, a lot of misinformation – not just health information – is spread via social media. Social media is a frictionless platform the sharing and spread of propaganda messaging, much of which is not true. How to fix it? Doubt we can fix the “supply” side – we need to address the consumers – and get them to be skeptical of information received on social media.

Where do we stand on new Covid-19 cases?

Where do we stand on new Covid-19 cases?

Recent news reports emphasize the spike or surge in new Covid-19 cases, and often continue to focus on that narrative for days to weeks after the trend has reversed. According to the CDC, the trend in new cases recently plateaued in the U.S. and may now be in decline. But don’t expect to see that widely reported 🙂

“Doomscrolling Is Slowly Eroding Your Mental Health”

“Doomscrolling Is Slowly Eroding Your Mental Health”

In the midst of an ineptly managed pandemic and ineptly managed civil unrest and economic fiasco people try to make sense of it by reading everything they can. Scrolling through post and news story after news story is called “doomscrolling” and it destroys your mental health. Sadly, much of the bull shit is not from random social media posts but from actual experts who spew nonsense.